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FedExCup Notes: Week 18

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Apr. 30, 2008

Tiger Woods' first place standing is safe for the 10th straight week, but Phil Mickelson could cut into his lead, and nine others have a chance to move into second with a victory. Eight of those nine, plus Mickelson, made the cut at Wachovia last year, including Steve Stricker, who finished second. Andres Romero was not in the Wachovia field in 2007. If Imada wins and Mickelson misses the cut, they will be tied for second behind Tiger.

Week 18 Scenarios
Wachovia Rank Points Points per start 2007 Wachovia Points with win Possible Rank
Phil Mickelson 2 10,081 1,120 1,450 14,581 2
Stewart Cink 3 8,474 942 950 12,974 2
Vijay Singh 4 8,302 830 779 12,802 2
Geoff Ogilvy 5 8,182 909 185 12,682 2
Boo Weekley 7 7,747 646 75 12,247 2
Steve Stricker 9 6,677 668 2,700 11,177 2
J.B. Holmes 11 6,210 565 118 10,710 2
Adam Scott 12 6,086 1,014 185 10,586 2
Andres Romero 14 5,789 643 -- 10,289 2
Ryuji Imada 15 5,581 558 59 10,081 2

• A number of players in the top 30 in the 2008 FedExCup points standings are heavily dependent on their victory to have gotten them there. The chart below lists the top 15 players in the field, ranked by average points per start. Last year, it took an average of about 500 points per start to be in the top 15, so all of these players appear to be on track to do so. However, based on their "points per start excluding wins," unless Steve Lowery, Andres Romero, J.B. Holmes and Trevor Immelman win again, they will need to dramatically pick up their pace to be in the top 15 at the end of the regular season.

Player 2008 Rank Points Points per start Average points when not winning
Phil Mickelson 2 10,081 1,120 698
Adam Scott 12 6,086 1,014 317
Stewart Cink 3 8,474 942 942
Geoff Ogilvy 5 8,182 909 432
Vijay Singh 4 8,302 830 830
Luke Donald 21 4,968 710 710
Steve Lowery 23 4,831 690 55
Steve Stricker 9 6,677 668 668
Boo Weekley 7 7,747 646 295
Andres Romero 14 5,789 643 161
J.B. Holmes 11 6,210 565 171
Ryuji Imada 15 5,581 558 558
Rory Sabbatini 22 4,891 543 543
Trevor Immelman 16 5,432 543 54
Stuart Appleby 26 4,476 497 497

• A few players are poised to make important moves. Of course, virtually any player who wins will move way up in the standings, but the list below shows players in the field who are averaging more than 300 points per start without benefit of a win. Not only are they playing well enough to be in the hunt in most weeks, but if they each play nine more regular season events after the Wachovia Championship and maintain their current average, they'll move up in the points standing significantly (based on the 2007 final points standings for the Regular Season). For example, Luke Donald is currently 21st in the FedExCup Standings, but if he continues to average 710 points per start in 10 more events, he will finish will 12,065 points, which will probably be good enough for a top 10 seed, based on how players finished last year.

Player FEC Rank Pts thru 17 Pts per start Possible Finish Potential Seed Diff vs Current
Luke Donald 21 4,968 710 12,065 9 12
Steve Stricker 9 6,677 668 13,353 7 2
Ryuji Imada 15 5,581 558 11,163 11 4
Rory Sabbatini 22 4,891 543 10,325 15 7
Stuart Appleby 26 4,476 497 9,449 18 8
Jim Furyk 19 5,199 473 9,926 16 3
Ryan Moore 36 3,729 466 8,392 25 11
Anthony Kim 31 4,187 465 8,839 21 10
Aaron Baddeley 24 4,652 465 9,304 19 5
Brandt Snedeker 28 4,409 368 8,084 26 2
Kevin Sutherland 37 3,644 365 7,290 28 9
Stephen Ames 44 3,211 357 6,780 31 13
Jeff Quinney 30 4,229 353 7,754 27 3
Robert Allenby 32 4,055 338 7,434 28 4
Dudley Hart 48 2,925 325 6,175 40 8
Steve Marino 34 3,832 319 7,026 29 5
Cliff Kresge 41 3,456 314 6,598 33 8
Woody Austin 43 3,293 299 6,287 38 5
Peter Lonard 38 3,573 298 6,551 34 4
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